Transparency
How often we tell people not to file
Every business in this category has a reason to tell you your case looks good. We publish the opposite number, the share of completed assessments that concluded a record does not yet support a filing, and we update it as it moves.
It is the one statistic here that cannot be fabricated in our own favour. Inflating it drives away the customers the business depends on. That is what makes it worth reading.
Not enough completed assessments to report a rate yet.
1 completed so far, of which 1 were told not to file yet. We will not publish a percentage below 30, a rate computed from a handful of runs is noise dressed as a finding, and this site exists partly to argue against exactly that.
The numbers behind it
- Assessments started
- 2
- Assessments completed
- 1
- Told not to file yet
- 1
- Adjudicated cases in the corpus
- 55
Distribution of outcomes
How completed assessments were banded. “Not eligible yet” means the EB-2 threshold was not established on the record as described, usually a fixable documentation gap rather than a permanent bar.
| Weak | 1 | 100% |
Where people stop
Published because it is the honest measure of whether this tool asks too much. If most people stop at step 3, the endeavor question is too hard to answer cold and that is our problem to fix, not theirs.
| 01 Contact | 2 |
| 02 Qualification | 2 |
| 03 Endeavor | 2 |
| 04 Evidence | 1 |
| 05 Circumstances | 1 |
The evidence base
Assessments are reasoned against 55 adjudicated outcomes, of which 5 are denials. Every record carries a source citation you can check.
That corpus is not a random sample and we do not use it to estimate anyone’s odds. Law firms publish approvals and appeal bodies publish denials, so it skews heavily optimistic. USCIS’s own figures put the real denial rate at 45% for FY2025.
Recomputed hourly from aggregate counts. No individual record is exposed. USCIS, Form I-140 by Fiscal Year, Quarter and Case Status, National Interest Waiver line, through FY2026 Q3.